Economy
Business and investment
Central Asia’s shortcut to the sea runs through a war
Landlocked Central Asia wants a fast route to the ocean through Afghanistan and Pakistan. The war between them has shut that door for now, and it is pushing Afghanistan’s own trade north into Central Asia instead. Both shifts redraw the region’s map of dependence.
Air Belgium will fly cargo through Ashgabat, and Turkmenistan dreams of a hub
Air Belgium plans to start cargo flights through Ashgabat in early August, the Turkmen embassy in Brussels said. For one of the world’s most closed countries, the freighter is a small bet on becoming an air-cargo bridge between Europe and Asia.
Kazakhstan signs into America’s AI bloc, the same week it was China’s guest of honour
Kazakhstan joined Pax Silica, the US-led coalition to build AI supply chains outside China, signing the accession in Washington on 27 June. It is the first Central Asian state to join. The signature is days old, and it lands in the same week Kazakhstan was guest of honour at China’s Eurasia expo and agreed to route its disaster data through Xinjiang.
At China’s Eurasia expo, Kazakhstan is guest of honour and the trade runs one way
Kazakhstan was the guest of honour last week at the China-Eurasia Expo in Urumqi, where Astana and Beijing set a target of $100 billion in annual trade. China’s trade with Central Asia passed $100 billion for the first time in 2025. The flows, and the advantage, point mostly one way.
Tajikistan’s workforce will add two million by 2040. The jobs are the missing half
Tajikistan’s working-age population will grow by more than 2 million by 2040, official projections say. Whether that becomes an engine or a pressure depends on a number the country has struggled to move: jobs created at home.
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan put their border crossings on a 24-hour clock
Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are moving border checkpoints to round-the-clock operation, qazinform reported on 26 June. It is a small administrative change with a real effect on trade: a border open all night moves more goods than one that closes at five.
Kazakhstan wants to host Central Asia’s AI. The bottleneck is electricity
A Nasdaq-listed firm has floated a 1 gigawatt AI data centre in Kazakhstan, one of several AI projects Astana is courting in its self-declared Year of Artificial Intelligence. A gigawatt is a large power station. Kazakhstan already struggles to keep the power it has.
A Russia-anchored development bank is widening its map. Oman is joining, Mongolia is in talks
At its annual meeting in Almaty, the Eurasian Development Bank said Oman will join this year and Mongolia is in negotiations, with its portfolio now around $22 billion. A bank built by Moscow and Astana is collecting members well beyond the post-Soviet space, at a moment when one of its founders is under sanctions.
The IMF likes Uzbekistan’s numbers and still flags the risks
Uzbekistan grew 7.7% in 2025 and brought inflation down, the IMF said this week. The praise came with the usual instruction: keep policy tight, because the easy part of the cycle is ending.
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Kazakhstan barely notices remittances. For two of its neighbours, they are the economy
New figures show Kazakhstan sent about $376 million abroad in the first four months of 2026 and took in far less. Money wired home by migrants barely registers in its economy. Two doors down, in Dushanbe and Bishkek, the same flow is most of the household budget. One region, two opposite economies.
The Netherlands tops Kazakhstan’s investor table at $125 billion. The figure is mostly a mailing address
Kazakhstan said this week that Dutch investment has passed $125 billion, keeping the Netherlands its largest foreign investor. The same week in Brussels, Tokayev cited $210 billion of European money. Both numbers count a great deal of capital that only stops in Europe on its way through.
Central Asia tops $600 billion as the EDB gathers in Almaty
The Eurasian Development Bank meets in Almaty on 25 and 26 June behind a flattering number: regional output above $600 billion for the first time, with growth over 6.5%. Beneath the headline sits a harder figure, the cost of the debt that paid for it.
Kazakhstan and the EU signed five agreements in Brussels. The value is in which ones get built
Tokayev flew home from Brussels with a joint statement, a horizontal aviation agreement, a €7.1 billion Airbus order and a pledge to move Kazakhstan up the minerals value chain. After five years of EU and Kazakh frameworks, the signing is the part that comes easily.
Tajikistan ordered 14 Boeing jets. The question is what pays for them
A fleet order worth billions sits on an economy that runs on migrant wages, owes its debt partly in gold mines, and routes its hard-currency earnings through offshore shells tied to the president's family. The aircraft are real. The questions the Washington ceremony left out are the ones worth asking.
Dushanbe police break up a fake-medicine ring selling children's syrups
Police in the Tajik capital shut down an underground operation that produced counterfeit medicines, including children's syrups sold under brand names, in unsanitary conditions. One man is detained. The haul points to a public-health problem bigger than a single workshop.
Kyrgyzstan moves 66,000 hectares to organic farming
Bishkek says it has converted 66,000 hectares to certified organic production in a nationwide push. For a small economy hunting export niches it cannot win on volume, organic is a sensible bet on value.
EBRD puts $25 million into an Uzbek steelmaker
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is lending $25 million to expand steel production in Uzbekistan. It is the kind of mid-size, real-economy deal that tells you more about the investment climate than any forum headline.
Kazakhstan secures land for a port base on the Persian Gulf, at Bandar Abbas
Iran has finalized the allocation of a plot for a Kazakh logistics terminal at Shahid Rajaee port in Bandar Abbas, its main gateway on the Gulf. It is a concrete step toward the southern corridor Central Asia has chased for years. The plot sits on the same strait Iran spent the weekend threatening to close.
Tashkent's forum closes, and the number that matters is the conversion rate
TIIF-2026 wrapped on 18 June. The closing headline figure was still not public as this edition went out, but a more telling number did surface: about 35% of the deals signed at last year's forum are already in implementation.
Oyu Tolgoi exports resume a day after protesters blocked the road
Rio Tinto restarted copper concentrate shipments from its giant Mongolian mine on 18 June, a day after the Radical Reform movement blocked the export road. The protest lasted under a day. The grievance behind it has lasted years.