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Novorossiysk stops taking Kazakh oil
The Caspian Pipeline Consortium has stopped accepting Kazakh crude and the terminal’s tanks are full, Reuters reported on Wednesday. Tracking data shows at least two tankers bound for the berths have changed course. There is a measured precedent for what follows: when the terminal was attacked last November, Reuters reported Kazakh output falling about 6% the following month.
The middle position gets its invoice
Kazakhstan has monetized its distance from two wars since 2022. In four July days one of them priced that distance at the terminal through which more than 80% of its oil exports leave. The next document out of Astana will show whether the region has a policy for this, or only a posture.
Berlin signs the agenda, the numbers stay unwritten
Aliyev and Merz signed the Joint Declaration on the Strategic Agenda of German-Azerbaijani partnership on Tuesday, agreed to stand up a bilateral Economic Council, and talked gas at length. The watch lines our Tuesday piece set resolved the same way: intent everywhere, a number nowhere.
Moscow starts Uzbekistan up the produce ladder
Rosselkhoznadzor will restrict imports from five Uzbek exporters from 23 July, citing phytosanitary violations: cabbage, onions, herbs, beetroot, tomatoes and grapes. In May the same regulator suspended ten Uzbek exporters. Armenia climbed this ladder rung by rung this spring, to a full ban in June.
The market answers first: charterers flee the CPC water
Foreign shipowners are refusing to send tankers to the CPC terminal after four tankers were hit in four days, Bloomberg reported, and the consortium was expected to stop accepting Kazakh pipeline crude on Tuesday. If intake stays shut into the weekend, Bloomberg’s sources say, Kazakhstan’s producers will have to cut output. The war has traveled the route’s full length, from the berths to the wellhead.
The first e-TIR truck heads for Turkmenistan
The first pilot shipment under the electronic TIR customs system between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan began this week, the head of Azerbaijan’s road carriers association said: the cargo has already crossed from Kazakhstan to Azerbaijan over the Caspian and moves on to Turkmenistan next.
Aliyev takes a strategic agenda to Berlin
Azerbaijan’s president is in Germany, with a Joint Declaration on the Strategic Agenda of bilateral partnership planned for his meeting with chancellor Friedrich Merz, per the state agency APA. The agenda runs through gas and the Middle Corridor, and the visit lands while Baku’s rupture with Moscow stays open.
Tajikistan and Mongolia sign twelve documents, minerals and glaciers included
After talks in Ulaanbaatar on 21 July, Emomali Rahmon and Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh adopted a joint statement, and 11 further documents were signed in their presence. The list runs heavier than the trade between the two countries: two mining lines, a road-transport agreement, and a glacier-and-desertification memorandum four weeks before Ulaanbaatar hosts the UN’s desertification conference.
A $25 million refinery signs into Kyrgyzstan’s fuel gap
The cabinet signed an investment agreement on 20 July with the company Central Asian Energy to build and operate a refinery in Kochkor-Ata: $25 million, capacity above 450,000 tons of products a year, with a first stage due by the end of 2026. Construction has already begun.
The heat breaks, and the bill arrives in mud
Bishkek logged 43.5 degrees on Sunday, its third daily record in a row, after the hottest 17 and 18 July in observation history; Uzbekistan’s grid ran five record days. From Tuesday both hydromets forecast the break, and both have posted mudflow warnings for the mountain belts, Kyrgyzstan’s through 25 July, Uzbekistan’s through the 24th. Summer in the region now alternates between two infrastructure tests, and there is no season between them.
Rahmon returns to Ulaanbaatar after 17 years
Tajikistan’s president arrived in Mongolia on Monday for a state visit running to 22 July, his first since March 2009, returning last year’s first-ever trip by a Mongolian president to Dushanbe. The talks and the signing come on Tuesday, and the document list is the watch.
Uzbekistan’s grid runs a fifth record day
Daily consumption hit 293.4 million kilowatt-hours on 17 July, 7.6% above last summer’s maximum, and the energy ministry counted five consecutive record days through the weekend. On Monday four Tashkent districts were warned of possible short outages; relief arrives with the heat easing from Tuesday.
Kazakhstan’s fuel wall takes comments for one more day
Public comment on the energy ministry’s draft order closes on Tuesday. The draft extends the ban on gasoline and diesel exports by road and rail from 22 November 2026 to 22 May 2027, keeps EAEU members inside it, and adds a separate half-year ban from January on jet kerosene, light distillates, gasoils, toluene, xylene and bitumen leaving the union’s customs territory.
The protest was answered by the next drone
Loading at the CPC terminal restarted on Sunday evening and stopped again on Monday morning, when a drone hit the tanker NELSA at the mooring where one of Sunday’s two tankers had burned. Twenty-two of the crew were taken off by CPC tugs. A day after Kazakhstan demanded the attacks end, the demand’s market price was set at zero.
The marked tenge is money now
Tashkent changes the man who guards the president
By decree on 18 July, President Mirziyoyev appointed Rustam Juraev chairman of the State Security Service of the president and promoted him to lieutenant general. Alisher Usmanov, a career officer who shares his name with the Russian-Uzbek billionaire, was released from the post. The announcements gave no reason.
The drones reached the tankers loading Kazakhstan’s oil
On 17 and 19 July drone strikes hit three tankers serving the Caspian Pipeline Consortium’s Black Sea terminal, two of them at the loading berths with Tengiz and Kashagan crude aboard. Loading stopped, and on Sunday Kazakhstan’s foreign ministry called the attacks an encroachment on the country’s economic interests, demanded they end and reserved the right to claim damages.
Rusal exploring $20 million cable and wire plant in Mongolia
A proposed plant near Ulaanbaatar would produce 4,500 tonnes of cables and conductors a year using Russian aluminium wire rod for Mongolia’s domestic market, Central Asia Wire has learned.
Tashiev rules himself out of 2027
Two weeks after a suspended sentence ended Kyrgyzstan’s ruling tandem, the former security chief said he will not run for president in 2027 and will back Sadyr Japarov, in a statement circulated on the evening of 16 July.
Turkmenistan negotiates its own terminal on the Black Sea
At a business forum in Georgia on 16 July, Serdar Berdimuhamedov said Ashgabat is in talks to establish a Turkmen cargo terminal on Georgia’s Black Sea coast. Add the Damen dredging talks at Turkmenbashi and the Baku transit spine, and the corridor’s quietest player is assembling positions at every gate between the Caspian and Europe.