Central Asia Wire
Independent Central Asia Monitor
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The US and Central Asia open a critical minerals dialogue in AstanaKazakhstan touts its titanium and pledges $470 million for explorationTajikistan is the EBRD’s fastest-growing regional economy, with one big catchCampaign over, silence begins: what Armenia goes into June 7 with
The minerals man, the Shenzhen check, and the Russian gas tap
OpinionOpinion12 Jun

The minerals man, the Shenzhen check, and the Russian gas tap

In one week Kazakhstan hosted an American official hunting for minerals, pocketed $6 billion from a Chinese roadshow, and offered to pump more Russian gas to its neighbor. The performance was flawless. The stage is getting smaller.

EconomyBrief12 Jun

Kyrgyzstan extends its timber export ban, eyeing Russian re-exports

Bishkek prolonged its ban on exporting timber outside the Eurasian Economic Union for another six months, a recurring move aimed partly at blocking the re-export of duty-free Russian wood.

EconomyBrief12 Jun

Tajikistan is the EBRD’s fastest-growing regional economy, with one big catch

The EBRD’s new report puts Tajikistan among the region’s fastest growers, with first-quarter investment up 34 percent on the back of Rogun and state spending. Its weak point is the familiar one: dependence on Russian remittances.

In one day, Kazakhstan courts Washington, Beijing and Moscow
PoliticsAnalysis11 Jun

In one day, Kazakhstan courts Washington, Beijing and Moscow

On a single day this week Kazakhstan opened a US-led minerals dialogue, banked 6 billion dollars from China for a new city, and offered to pump more Russian gas to its neighbour. That is multi-vector foreign policy as a daily schedule.

EnergyBrief11 Jun

Kazakhstan says it is ready to pump more Russian gas to Uzbekistan

Kazakhstan’s energy minister said on 10 June that the country is ready to carry more Russian gas to Uzbekistan, toward 11 billion cubic metres a year. The pipeline that once sent Central Asian gas north now runs the other way.

The scramble for the Caucasus, from Washington’s bill to a Chinese-built port
China FactorAnalysis10 Jun

The scramble for the Caucasus, from Washington’s bill to a Chinese-built port

In one week Washington moved against Chinese and Russian sway in Georgia, the foreign ministers of Turkiye, Azerbaijan and Georgia signed a declaration in Istanbul, and a Chinese consortium kept its grip on Georgia’s flagship port. The Caucasus is being contested in real time.

Kazakhstan’s oil still rides a Russian route
EnergyAnalysis10 Jun

Kazakhstan’s oil still rides a Russian route

Astana keeps adjusting its output numbers. It still ships most of its oil through a pipeline that crosses Russia to the Black Sea, and that route is now a target. The exposure is built into the map.

PoliticsBrief10 Jun

US House passes a bill on Chinese and Russian influence in Georgia

The US House passed the Countering China’s Control of the Caucasus Act on 8 June, ordering a classified report on Russian and Chinese intelligence activity in Georgia. It is the sharpest sign yet of Washington’s rift with Tbilisi.

 Central Asia, AI, data centres, electricity, nuclear, Russia, China, South Korea
EnergyAnalysis10 Jun

Central Asia declared an AI year. The grid will decide how far it gets

The region is racing to build digital economies, AI centres and crypto hubs. All of it needs electricity Central Asia does not yet have, which is why the same governments are courting Korea, Rosatom and Beijing for new power.

Remittances remain Central Asia’s clearest stability gauge
EconomyAnalysis9 Jun

Remittances remain Central Asia’s clearest stability gauge

The fastest read on Central Asian stability is the money migrants wire home from Russia. In Tajikistan it equals almost half of GDP, which makes the ruble the region’s quiet budget line.

Aigerim Bekova column
OpinionBrief8 Jun

Fifty companies

Kyrgyzstan shut down fifty companies on a list provided by Washington and London. The part of the story that got less attention: it was a list of fifty-one.

Armenia Elections
PoliticsAnalysis8 Jun

Pashinyan wins — and the margin tells the real story

The final results of Armenia’s parliamentary elections have cemented Nikol Pashinyan’s third consecutive term, but the tight mathematical metrics reveal a complex legislative landscape ahead. While his Civil Contract party secured enough seats to form a government single-handedly, it fell short of the constitutional supermajority required to reshape the country's institutional framework. The razor-thin margin shows that while voters backed his westward shift, they refused to hand him absolute domestic power.

Riga Baku SPb
OpinionOpinion7 Jun

Forum week: Baku signed, St. Petersburg celebrated, Riga quietly worked

Three gatherings, one week, one pipeline. A tour of the parallel universes of Eurasian energy diplomacy.

Washington Names Moscow's Play in Armenia
PoliticsAnalysis6 Jun

Four days out: Washington names Moscow's play in Armenia

Secretary Rubio told the Senate on Tuesday that Russia wants Pashinyan to lose. The claim lands in the middle of the dirtiest election campaign Armenia has seen in years.

 The Editor. Tags: Armenia, Elections, Pashinyan, Russia, EU, EAEU
OpinionOpinion6 Jun

Armenia on the eve: what the campaign actually settled

Tomorrow Armenians vote. The result looks predictable. The questions it raises are not.

NewsBrief5 Jun

Campaign over, silence begins: what Armenia goes into June 7 with

Pashinyan leads by a wide margin among decided voters. A third of the electorate is still undecided. Tomorrow is the day of silence. Sunday is the vote.

NewsBrief4 Jun

Armenia T-3: Civil Contract Leads by a Distance, But a Third of Voters Are Still Undecided

The latest polling aggregate puts Pashinyan at 46% of decided voters. The undecided bloc is large enough to change the outcome. Campaign ends tomorrow.

The SCO at 25
AnalysisAnalysis2 Jun

The SCO at 25: A Quarter-Century of Summits, Zero Kilometres of New Railway

The anniversary session in St. Petersburg today will celebrate what the organisation has become. The Central Asian members are more interested in what it might finally build

SPIEF 2026
EconomyAnalysis2 Jun

The Level of the Delegation Is the Message

Central Asia is in St. Petersburg this week — but not equally. What each country’s roster says about where the relationship with Russia actually stands

NewsBrief2 Jun

The First Country: What Happened After the EU Made an Example of Kyrgyzstan

Brussels activated a tool it had never used. Six weeks later, Bishkek shut down 50 companies. The experiment is being watched across the region.

 Nikol Pashinyan Vladimir Putin
NewsBrief1 Jun

The Train to Brussels Runs on Russian Rails

Armenia wants to end Moscow’s monopoly on its railways, electricity and gas. The June 7 election will determine whether it can

Putin Ends Astana Visit
NewsBrief1 Jun

Putin Ends Astana Visit with Ukraine Warnings and EAEU Posturing

The Russian president used the Eurasian Economic Forum platform for some of his sharpest public language on Ukraine in months — delivered from Kazakhstan’s capital

Putin & Tokayev
OpinionOpinion29 May

The Tsar, the Steppe, and the Very Friendly Lunch

What Vladimir Putin’s second state visit to Kazakhstan really said — and what everyone agreed not to say out loud

NewsBrief29 May

Armenia Election Roundup: Flower Bans, Citizenship Scandals and Bribery Arrests

With nine days to go, Russia tightens economic pressure while Strong Armenia faces new legal trouble

EAEU Summit Convenes: Armenia in the Room, Pashinyan Not
NewsBrief29 May

EAEU Summit Convenes: Armenia in the Room, Pashinyan Not

The Supreme Eurasian Economic Council meets today to discuss, for the first time, a member state's EU trajectory — with the Armenian elections nine days away