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China's fuel promise to Mongolia gets a number: 17,000 tonnes for September, and a 20-year frame around itKazakhstan pauses collecting its $5.2 billion Kashagan fine after NCOC takes the bailiff to courtBaku moves the start of work on the Trump route to 2027, 6 days before Armenia's court takes up the dealKazakhstan's energy ministry says CPC loading stopped on 2 buoys after Tuesday's drone incident and resumed after checks

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  1. The World Bank's new Tajikistan programme replaces grants with credits from July and rates its own risk as high
    EconomyAnalysis11 Sept

    The World Bank's new Tajikistan programme replaces grants with credits from July and rates its own risk as high

    The Bank's Country Partnership Framework for fiscal years 2026 to 2032, which its board discussed on 3 June and Asia-Plus read in full on Friday, sets an indicative $1 billion to $1.2 billion of IDA money over 7 years, moves the country from IDA grants to IDA credits from fiscal year 2027, and assesses the overall risk of the programme as high. On the Bank's calendar fiscal year 2027 began on 1 July 2026. The document is 3 months old; the terms in it are already running.

  2. Barki Tojik books a 2.45 billion somoni profit made of currency gains while owing 8.36 billion to the plants that power it
    EconomyAnalysis10 Sept

    Barki Tojik books a 2.45 billion somoni profit made of currency gains while owing 8.36 billion to the plants that power it

    The 2025 accounts of Tajikistan's power utility, published by the energy ministry and read by Asia-Plus on Thursday, show a net operating profit of 2.45 billion somoni, $265 million, after a loss of 1.6 billion in 2024, and the line that made the difference is 2.93 billion somoni of net income from foreign-currency operations. Beneath it sit 29.3 billion somoni of accumulated losses, 23.26 billion of financial obligations and 8.36 billion owed to the generators, Rogun among them. The auditor kept its warning.

  3. The UN's debt expert asks Dushanbe for the sums behind its projects as the grant era ends in 2027
    EconomyAnalysis10 Sept

    The UN's debt expert asks Dushanbe for the sums behind its projects as the grant era ends in 2027

    Attiya Waris, the UN independent expert on foreign debt, ended a 12-day visit to Tajikistan on 31 August with a statement that reached the English-language wires through Eurasianet on 8 September: the government's actions “are not sufficiently visible to the public”, fiscal decisions “should be a transparent and participatory process”, the state should “prepare a cost-benefit analysis of all the government projects”, and from 2027 the country “will move from grant-based financing to concessional lending”. The latest poverty rate she cites is from 2018. Eight days after her statement, the president read the nation a ledger in which GDP had grown almost 100 times.

  4. Georgia promises to double its ports by 2032 for a corridor whose shallowest link is on the other sea
    EconomyAnalysis9 Sept

    Georgia promises to double its ports by 2032 for a corridor whose shallowest link is on the other sea

    Georgia's sea ports and terminals handled 13.7 million tonnes in the first 8 months of 2026, 24% more than a year earlier and the best figure in ten years, the economy minister told the Georgia International Maritime Forum in Batumi. The prime minister, at the same opening, set a ten-year target: railway capacity doubled, port capacity doubled, airport capacity tripled, about $7 billion by 2032. The desk's own reading of the route puts its narrowest section across Azerbaijan and the Caspian, at a Kazakh quay whose fenders are broken and whose water is falling, and there the only dated commitment is a dredging contract.

  5. Kyrgyzstan puts a 74.5 billion som price on its melting glaciers
    EconomyAnalysis8 Sept

    Kyrgyzstan puts a 74.5 billion som price on its melting glaciers

    A decree signed by President Sadyr Japarov creates a fund for the protection of Kyrgyzstan's glaciers and Lake Issyk-Kul, 24.kg reported on Tuesday morning, five days after the environment ministry published a draft National Adaptation Plan to 2035 costed at 74.5 billion som ($852 million), 54% of it expected from foreign grants and climate funds. The decree gives the cabinet until 1 October to say what the fund is and where its money comes from.

  6. Mongolia's premier reaches into the coal company's profit for the pension rise, and the auditor puts the deficit at 2% of GDP
    EconomyAnalysis8 Sept

    Mongolia's premier reaches into the coal company's profit for the pension rise, and the auditor puts the deficit at 2% of GDP

    Nyam-Osoryn Uchral said on Monday, as the State Great Khural's extraordinary session opened on the budget amendment, that this year's pension and wage increases will be paid with ₮1.5 trillion ($417 million) taken from Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi as a dividend, through an amendment to the law that keeps state companies' dividends out of the budget. On Tuesday the general auditor told the same chamber that the package adds ₮998 billion of spending with no new revenue and fails the fiscal rule's primary-balance test.

  7. Mongolia's parliament opens a budget rewrite that turns a 57% export jump into pensions and pay rises
    EconomyAnalysis7 Sept

    Mongolia's parliament opens a budget rewrite that turns a 57% export jump into pensions and pay rises

    The State Great Khural opened its extraordinary session at 10:02 on Monday with 64.3% of its members in the hall and one package before it: the amendment to the 2026 budget that the government submitted on 20 August. In the parliament's own summary the case is four numbers. The economy grew 7.6% over seven months, exports reached $12 billion, up 57%, and the government wants ₮250,000 ($70) a month more for 435,000 pensioners and 20 to 50% more for 149,000 state employees. Both increases are permanent. Both begin in the year's last two months, and the full bill arrives in 2027, the year the government's own draft budget suspends the spending cap.

  8. Kazakhstan's central bank forecasts at $89 oil, and names next year's fiscal stimulus as the limit on its cuts
    EconomyAnalysis4 Sept

    Kazakhstan's central bank forecasts at $89 oil, and names next year's fiscal stimulus as the limit on its cuts

    The National Bank cut its base rate to 16.25% on Friday and told the market why the room below it is limited: next year's budget will spend more, and the extra comes from the National Fund. The bank's own forecast runs on $89 oil this year. The budget law now in force was written at $60.

  9. Kazakhstan's central bank decides with its first sub-10% print and Brent 58% above the budget's price
    EconomyAnalysis4 Sept

    Kazakhstan's central bank decides with its first sub-10% print and Brent 58% above the budget's price

    The National Bank of Kazakhstan announces its base-rate decision at 12:00 Astana time on Friday with August inflation at 9.8%, the first reading under 10% since the bank began cutting in June, and Brent at $95. The budget the bank is asked to protect was written at $60 a barrel and 540 tenge to the dollar; the market has delivered $95 and 456.

  10. Baku's fuel for Armenia nears 20,000 tonnes, and every wagon still goes through Georgia
    EconomyAnalysis3 Sept

    Baku's fuel for Armenia nears 20,000 tonnes, and every wagon still goes through Georgia

    Another 17 tank wagons of Azerbaijani diesel leave Baku's Bilajari yard for the Georgian border today. The running total the Baku press prints, near 15,000 tonnes of diesel and 5,000 of petrol, is small against Armenia's import book and large as a fact: the peace dividend is counted in wagons, and its only track runs through a third country.

  11. Central Asia puts its law up for rent
    EconomyAnalysis28 Aug

    Central Asia puts its law up for rent

    Three states have now built four enclaves where their own law steps aside for England's, on leases running to 2066, 2074, 2076 and the year 2100. The rents are real, the tenants are arriving slowly, and the length of the leases is the most honest document the region has published about itself.

  12. The Kokzhide file opens, and the water tests positive at all five operators
    EconomyAnalysis26 Aug

    The Kokzhide file opens, and the water tests positive at all five operators

    A court order has pried loose the state's own hydrogeology report on Kokzhide, Kazakhstan's largest reserve of fresh groundwater. It shows oil products above permitted levels at wells of every company drilling there.

  13. Kazakhstan's cabinet is ordered out, and it plans the next 3 years
    EconomyAnalysis25 Aug

    Kazakhstan's cabinet is ordered out, and it plans the next 3 years

    The government President Tokayev has told to resign spent Tuesday morning approving Kazakhstan's economic forecast for 2027 to 2029: growth above 5%, exports rising to $88.5 billion, and 5 trillion tenge of targeted National Fund money. The numbers will outlive the cabinet that wrote them.

  14. Mongolia's mid-year budget spends the money its provinces never did
    EconomyAnalysis24 Aug

    Mongolia's mid-year budget spends the money its provinces never did

    The government has asked parliament to raise this year's spending ceiling by ₮998 billion ($277 million), all of it unspent balances sitting in provincial accounts, and says it has saved ₮1.4 trillion elsewhere to pay wages, pensions and energy relief. The deficit it amends had already doubled by July.

  15. Uzbekistan charters an English-law enclave to the year 2100
    EconomyAnalysis21 Aug

    Uzbekistan charters an English-law enclave to the year 2100

    Mirziyoyev has signed the law creating Enterprise Uzbekistan, a digital-technology jurisdiction with zero taxes on export activity, English common law and its own commercial court, guaranteed for 74 years. Central Asia's governments are building a family of imported-law enclaves, and Tashkent's is chartered the longest.

  16. Tajikistan's new B+ is priced against a $5.8 billion dam
    EconomyAnalysis19 Aug

    Tajikistan's new B+ is priced against a $5.8 billion dam

    S&P raised Tajikistan to B+ on 14 August, its verdict on five years in which the economy grew about 8.5% a year and reserves rose to $6.4 billion. In the same package its analysts put the remaining cost of Rogun at $5.8 billion. The upgrade and the bill belong in one sentence.

  17. Mirziyoyev offers business a 3-year truce
    EconomyAnalysis19 Aug

    Mirziyoyev offers business a 3-year truce

    Uzbekistan signed a law of guarantees for business on Monday and spent Tuesday announcing the specifics: fines cut by half, a 3-year moratorium on most small-business inspections, energy prepayments down to 15%, and 10 days to fix a first offence. The guarantees are signed. The specifics, so far, are a speech.

  18. Mongolia's fuel price outran the council that sets it
    EconomyAnalysis18 Aug

    Mongolia's fuel price outran the council that sets it

    AI-92 petrol rose 200 tugriks a litre on Saturday, the weekend Ulaanbaatar’s rationing lapsed, while the Price Council that approves regulated prices has still not met. The crisis is changing shape: supply is recovering, and the cost is settling where it always ends, at the pump.

  19. Mongolia's ask at the summit it is paying to host is Gobi water
    EconomyAnalysis13 Aug

    Mongolia's ask at the summit it is paying to host is Gobi water

    The national committee for COP17 met for the nineteenth time in Ulaanbaatar on Thursday morning, four days before the desertification conference opens. Mongolia has put 250 billion tugrik of state money into hosting it, about $70 million at the rate the desk logged on 5 August. What it wants out of the fortnight is financing to extend water supply in the Gobi.

  20. Kazakhstan’s economy grows around its shrinking oil
    EconomyAnalysis11 Aug

    Kazakhstan’s economy grows around its shrinking oil

    Seven-month GDP growth of 4.1% arrived on Tuesday morning with a second number attached: oil output down 8.9% year on year, at 53.2 million tonnes. It is an official, national-perimeter production number that takes in the crisis weeks, and it lands while the July numbers that would price them stay unpublished.