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Uzbekistan offers Beijing the value-chain deal Kazakhstan offered Brussels
AnalysisBrief24 Jun

Uzbekistan offers Beijing the value-chain deal Kazakhstan offered Brussels

As Tokayev pressed Brussels to process Kazakh minerals inside Kazakhstan, Tashkent was making the same case to Chinese state firms. Two rival buyers are hearing one regional pitch: build the value chain here. Uranium runs through both.

Central Asia tops $600 billion as the EDB gathers in Almaty
EconomyBrief24 Jun

Central Asia tops $600 billion as the EDB gathers in Almaty

The Eurasian Development Bank meets in Almaty on 25 and 26 June behind a flattering number: regional output above $600 billion for the first time, with growth over 6.5%. Beneath the headline sits a harder figure, the cost of the debt that paid for it.

Mongolia owns a third of Oyu Tolgoi. It is still waiting for the first dividend
OpinionOpinion24 Jun

Mongolia owns a third of Oyu Tolgoi. It is still waiting for the first dividend

A year ago the streets of Ulaanbaatar filled over a simple grievance: the country sits on world-class mineral wealth and rarely feels it. The copper has grown more valuable since. The wait has not grown shorter.

Kazakhstan and the EU signed five agreements in Brussels. The value is in which ones get built
AnalysisAnalysis24 Jun

Kazakhstan and the EU signed five agreements in Brussels. The value is in which ones get built

Tokayev flew home from Brussels with a joint statement, a horizontal aviation agreement, a €7.1 billion Airbus order and a pledge to move Kazakhstan up the minerals value chain. After five years of EU and Kazakh frameworks, the signing is the part that comes easily.

Tajikistan ordered 14 Boeing jets. The question is what pays for them
EconomyBrief23 Jun

Tajikistan ordered 14 Boeing jets. The question is what pays for them

A fleet order worth billions sits on an economy that runs on migrant wages, owes its debt partly in gold mines, and routes its hard-currency earnings through offshore shells tied to the president's family. The aircraft are real. The questions the Washington ceremony left out are the ones worth asking.

The most important resource in Central Asia is no longer oil
OpinionOpinion23 Jun

Five Years Ahead: The most important resource in Central Asia is no longer oil

Hydrocarbons built the modern map of Central Asia. The next map will be drawn by water, and the lines are already moving in Afghanistan, Tajikistan and the shrinking glaciers overhead.

Iran update: a road map out of Burgenstock, and Hormuz stays open
SecurityBrief23 Jun

Iran update: a road map out of Burgenstock, and Hormuz stays open

The first round of US-Iran implementation talks closed in Switzerland with a road map toward a final deal and a communication line to keep Hormuz incident-free. Despite a weekend closure threat, the strait kept moving. For Central Asia, the de-escalation puts the oil premium back under pressure.

Dushanbe police break up a fake-medicine ring selling children's syrups
EconomyBrief23 Jun

Dushanbe police break up a fake-medicine ring selling children's syrups

Police in the Tajik capital shut down an underground operation that produced counterfeit medicines, including children's syrups sold under brand names, in unsanitary conditions. One man is detained. The haul points to a public-health problem bigger than a single workshop.

Kyrgyzstan moves 66,000 hectares to organic farming
EconomyBrief23 Jun

Kyrgyzstan moves 66,000 hectares to organic farming

Bishkek says it has converted 66,000 hectares to certified organic production in a nationwide push. For a small economy hunting export niches it cannot win on volume, organic is a sensible bet on value.

EBRD puts $25 million into an Uzbek steelmaker
EconomyBrief23 Jun

EBRD puts $25 million into an Uzbek steelmaker

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is lending $25 million to expand steel production in Uzbekistan. It is the kind of mid-size, real-economy deal that tells you more about the investment climate than any forum headline.

The three Syr Darya states lock in their summer water-for-power deal
EnergyBrief23 Jun

The three Syr Darya states lock in their summer water-for-power deal

Energy and water ministers from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan met in Bishkek and signed a protocol governing water releases and electricity supply for July and August. It is the routine machinery of a bargain the region cannot afford to get wrong: upstream water for downstream power, settled season by season.

Central Asia's luck and Central Asia's road run through the same 50 kilometers
EnergyBrief22 Jun

Central Asia's luck and Central Asia's road run through the same 50 kilometers

The weekend put two Central Asian stories on the Strait of Hormuz at once. Iran's threat to close it props up the premium on Kazakh oil. Kazakhstan's new port plot at Bandar Abbas depends on it staying open. The same water carries the region's windfall and its future, and they pull in opposite directions.

Tashkent's forum showed a country sitting comfortably on every bloc at once
EnergyBrief22 Jun

Tashkent's forum showed a country sitting comfortably on every bloc at once

Weekend reporting on the Tashkent forum drew out a quieter result than any dollar figure. With Russia's premier on the plenary stage, US executives in side rooms, the EU courting the Middle Corridor and Albania making a debut, Uzbekistan displayed a multivector balance that one regional report called emphatic non-alignment.

Kazakhstan secures land for a port base on the Persian Gulf, at Bandar Abbas
EconomyBrief22 Jun

Kazakhstan secures land for a port base on the Persian Gulf, at Bandar Abbas

Iran has finalized the allocation of a plot for a Kazakh logistics terminal at Shahid Rajaee port in Bandar Abbas, its main gateway on the Gulf. It is a concrete step toward the southern corridor Central Asia has chased for years. The plot sits on the same strait Iran spent the weekend threatening to close.

Iran threatens to close Hormuz again, and the wartime premium ticks back
EnergyBrief22 Jun

Iran threatens to close Hormuz again, and the wartime premium ticks back

The talks that collapsed on Friday reconvened at the Burgenstock over the weekend and reported guarded progress. But Iran threatened to shut the Strait of Hormuz once more over Israel's strikes on Lebanon, oil edged back toward $80, and the premium Central Asia had been losing all week stopped fading. The deal is holding on paper and fraying in practice.

The Iran deal nearly broke on Lebanon, then Lebanon got a ceasefire
PoliticsBrief19 Jun

The Iran deal nearly broke on Lebanon, then Lebanon got a ceasefire

The talks meant to start today were postponed indefinitely after Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon killed at least 16 people overnight and Iran held back its delegation. By Friday afternoon Hezbollah and Israel had agreed a ceasefire, the first test of a peace deal passed on the very front that almost sank it.

The week of the signed page
PoliticsAnalysis19 Jun

The week of the signed page

A war ended on a signed memorandum. A forum closed on EUR75 billion of pledges. A constitution was ratified by 87%. All three are documents. None of the three is yet a result. That gap is the week's real story.

A day after the signing, the Iran talks meant to start today are off
PoliticsBrief19 Jun

A day after the signing, the Iran talks meant to start today are off

The implementation talks scheduled for Friday at Switzerland's BΓΌrgenstock will not take place as planned, the Swiss foreign ministry said. Vice President Vance delayed his trip. The signed memorandum is two days old and already snagged, with Lebanon the first knot.

Kazakhstan's new constitution takes effect in twelve days
PoliticsBrief19 Jun

Kazakhstan's new constitution takes effect in twelve days

On 1 July, Kazakhstan switches to a single-chamber parliament, restores a vice presidency, and stands up a presidentially appointed People's Council. Backed by 87% in a March referendum and billed as modernisation, the overhaul concentrates power as much as it redistributes it.

Tashkent's forum closes, and the number that matters is the conversion rate
EconomyBrief19 Jun

Tashkent's forum closes, and the number that matters is the conversion rate

TIIF-2026 wrapped on 18 June. The closing headline figure was still not public as this pack went out, but a more telling number did surface: about 35% of the deals signed at last year's forum are already in implementation.