A day after the signing, the Iran talks meant to start today are off
The implementation talks scheduled for Friday at Switzerland's Bürgenstock will not take place as planned, the Swiss foreign ministry said. Vice President Vance delayed his trip. The signed memorandum is two days old and already snagged, with Lebanon the first knot.
The war that gave Central Asia an edge is over
The US and Iran signed the memorandum ending their war late Wednesday — Trump at Versailles, Pezeshkian in Tehran, Pakistan's Sharif as mediator in Islamabad. Hormuz is filling with ships again. For Central Asia, the windfall of the last three months begins to unwind, and a different door opens.
Uzbekistan's Wednesday: plenary stage, two supertankers, and the Azteca
In a single day Uzbekistan ran its largest investment pitch, watched the first Iranian oil leave through Hormuz since the blockade, and sent eleven men to play the World Cup at the Estadio Azteca. Each is a separate story. Lined up, they describe a country that is having a moment.
First Iranian oil tankers move through Hormuz since the blockade began
Two Iranian supertankers crossed the Strait of Hormuz on 17 June, the first crude exports to leave since the US naval blockade was imposed in April. The strait is not open — but oil is moving again, two days before the Geneva signing.
A good week to be pitching Central Asia
TIIF in Tashkent, the IsDB in Baku, and the Iran deal ticking toward Geneva have converged in a single week. The timing is not accidental. Central Asia has a window, and Uzbekistan in particular is spending it hard.
Iran deal inches toward Friday's signing, Hormuz still barely moving
The US–Iran framework agreement is on track for a Geneva ceremony on 19 June, but the Strait of Hormuz remains close to shut. Three days of pre-implementation talks in Doha separate the region's energy markets from any real relief.
The Iran deal heads toward Friday’s signing with its text unpublished and both sides claiming victory
The US and Iran are preparing to sign their interim peace agreement in Switzerland on 19 June, but the deal’s text has not been published, the two governments describe its terms differently, and shippers want to see Hormuz actually reopen before they act on it.
Iran and the US agree to end the war and reopen Hormuz, and oil tumbles
President Trump declared a deal with Iran complete on 14 June, set to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after more than 100 days. Oil fell below $84 on Monday, down from a wartime peak near $126. For Central Asia, the windfall is ending with the war.
The Iran war is redrawing Central Asia’s map to the sea
Every escalation in the Gulf pushes the region’s trade further off the route through Iran and onto the corridors west and east. The war hands Kazakhstan an oil-price windfall and a bill at the same time.
The Iran war reignites and the Strait of Hormuz shuts again
Iran and the United States traded strikes again on 11 June, and Tehran declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to all shipping. For Central Asia the effects are higher prices and a southern route to the sea that is shut once more.