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03
EconomyBrief4 Aug

Bektenov turns shelf access into a directive

Kazakhstan’s Tuesday cabinet put first-half manufacturing output at 16 trillion tenge, about $34 billion at Tuesday’s official rate, up 9.8%, and ordered fair access to retail chains for the goods behind the number.

The premiers follow the presidents to the lake
PoliticsBrief4 Aug

The premiers follow the presidents to the lake

The EAEU’s heads of government meet in Cholpon-Ata on 6 and 7 August, the Kyrgyz cabinet confirmed on Tuesday, giving the same shore its second summit inside a week. For Nikol Pashinyan it would be a first multilateral room since his reappointment, three days after his cabinet was re-decreed.

Ankara puts two names on the shipping war
Turkish FactorAnalysis4 Aug

Ankara puts two names on the shipping war

Turkey’s foreign ministry on Tuesday named two Turkish-owned ships hit in a single evening off Novorossiysk and told the warring parties to make the Black Sea safe for civilian navigation. Kazakhstan’s export recovery now depends on how much of that warning the tanker market believes.

Mongolia’s leverage lies in other people’s courtrooms
OpinionOpinion4 Aug

Mongolia’s leverage lies in other people’s courtrooms

Shareholders in New York and Québec have twice put a price on the Oyu Tolgoi construction story. One settlement has been approved; the other awaits a hearing. Ulaanbaatar used that story once, in 2022, but has since left it in the drawer. A former government insider says it is time to take it out.

ExxonMobil promises Kazakhstan the long term
EconomyBrief4 Aug

ExxonMobil promises Kazakhstan the long term

Three days after Chevron’s chief executive spoke for the CPC, ExxonMobil’s upstream president sat with the prime minister in Astana and confirmed, in the government’s readout, plans for a long-term presence in Kazakh oil and gas.

Armenia’s cabinet comes back in a day with one new name
PoliticsBrief4 Aug

Armenia’s cabinet comes back in a day with one new name

Eleven of twelve ministers returned to their chairs on Monday, the day after Nikol Pashinyan’s reappointment; the one new face runs high-tech industry. The parliament’s new speaker is Ruben Rubinyan, the man who has led the normalization talks with Turkey.

A US visa now takes a $15,000 deposit from three Central Asian states
PoliticsBrief4 Aug

A US visa now takes a $15,000 deposit from three Central Asian states

The State Department made its visa-bond rule permanent on 3 August. Applicants from Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Turkmenistan will generally post $10,000, $15,000 or $20,000 to receive a tourist or business visa. Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are not on the list.

Mongolia rations the pump, and Bishkek pays double
EnergyBrief4 Aug

Mongolia rations the pump, and Bishkek pays double

From today Mongolian filling stations serve cars by the last digit of the plate, with each purchase capped at 50,000 tugriks, roughly $13. In Bishkek the cabinet orders tight control of a market where petrol now costs nearly twice what it does across the Kazakh border.

A 27% jump in demand sends Uzbekistan’s jet-fuel buyers to Georgia and Iraq
EnergyBrief4 Aug

A 27% jump in demand sends Uzbekistan’s jet-fuel buyers to Georgia and Iraq

Tashkent says it needs 375,000 tonnes of aviation fuel in the second half of the year, 27% more than a year earlier, and the supplier that used to cover the region’s gap has all but left the market: Russian jet-fuel deliveries to Central Asia fell by more than 92% in June against May.

The drone war off Novorossiysk stops sparing crews
EnergyBrief4 Aug

The drone war off Novorossiysk stops sparing crews

Since Saturday the approaches to Kazakhstan’s main export outlet have seen a cargo ship sunk and a Turkish-crewed freighter set ablaze, with three sailors gravely wounded. The terminal that carries more than 80% of Kazakh oil exports keeps loading at a third of its June intake, and July’s total has still not been published.

Five Years Ahead: the institution that refuses to exist
OpinionOpinion3 Aug

Five Years Ahead: the institution that refuses to exist

The region’s most productive political format keeps insisting it is only a conversation. The paper trail from Issyk-Kul says the conversation is becoming a structure.

Kashagan’s arbitration deadline passes in silence
EconomyBrief3 Aug

Kashagan’s arbitration deadline passes in silence

The end-July date for seating the arbitral panel has passed; no announcement of its composition has surfaced, and the enforcement the arbitration was meant to check keeps running.

Mongolia queues for petrol two weeks before COP17
EnergyBrief3 Aug

Mongolia queues for petrol two weeks before COP17

AI-92 stocks fell by nearly half in three weeks to 17 days of consumption, queues at the pumps run five and six hours, and the government’s answer is measured in storage tanks and years.

Pashinyan is reappointed the day his government resigns
PoliticsBrief3 Aug

Pashinyan is reappointed the day his government resigns

Armenia’s new National Assembly convened on Sunday morning; the same day the government resigned by force of the constitution and President Vahagn Khachaturyan signed Nikol Pashinyan back in.

A declaration at the lake, and a refinery on the table
PoliticsBrief3 Aug

A declaration at the lake, and a refinery on the table

Six presidents signed the Cholpon-Ata Declaration on Friday, and Tajikistan used the occasion to propose a regional refinery - an idea that the region's fuel squeeze has increasingly reinforced.

Chevron speaks first on the CPC
EnergyBrief3 Aug

Chevron speaks first on the CPC

The fullest account of the damaged export route came from Houston on Friday: the pipeline is flowing, two of three moorings are working, and Washington and Astana are discussing guarantees to keep it that way.

Ulaanbaatar brings dust storms to the COP17 table
PoliticsBrief31 Jul

Ulaanbaatar brings dust storms to the COP17 table

Mongolia and UNESCAP will launch a regional initiative on sand and dust storms at COP17 in August, built with the Trilateral Cooperation Secretariat of China, Japan and South Korea.

A cable starts across the Caspian floor
EconomyBrief31 Jul

A cable starts across the Caspian floor

Laying of the Kazakhstan-Azerbaijan fibre-optic cable began on Friday from Baku toward Aktau, Kazakhstan’s digital development ministry said, with 15 to 20 days of marine work ahead and commissioning promised by the end of the year.

Pashinyan calls the union paralyzed
PoliticsAnalysis31 Jul

Pashinyan calls the union paralyzed

Armenia’s prime minister said on Thursday the Eurasian Economic Union is “de facto paralyzed”, his hardest wording since Russia began closing its market to Armenian goods in May. The union’s core promise, free movement of goods, is now disputed in public by one of its five members.

The fuel wall arrives, and the region answers with signatures
EnergyAnalysis31 Jul

The fuel wall arrives, and the region answers with signatures

From Saturday, Russia’s gasoline export ban covers every exporter, and for August the diesel ban reaches even the producers. The decree leaves one door open, intergovernmental agreements, and the region spent the week queueing at it.