Central Asia Wire
Independent Central Asia Monitor
Breaking
The UK sanctions 4 Georgians for Kremlin disinformation and names Tskhinvali’s leadersKazakhstan’s inflation slows to 9.3% in September as the tenge opens the week at 447.73Turkmenistan reports 6.3% growth for 9 months and a budget collected to 100.1% of planFour German party foundations stop work in Georgia after Tbilisi rejects their grants

All News

Every published article, newest first.

793 articles
Pakistani airstrikes hit Afghanistan, ending a month of calm
SecurityBrief11 Jun

Pakistani airstrikes hit Afghanistan, ending a month of calm

Pakistan struck three Afghan provinces early on 10 June, killing at least 13 people by Kabul’s count, most of them children. It broke more than a month of quiet in a war that has killed hundreds.

In one day, Kazakhstan courts Washington, Beijing and Moscow
PoliticsAnalysis11 Jun

In one day, Kazakhstan courts Washington, Beijing and Moscow

On a single day this week Kazakhstan opened a US-led minerals dialogue, banked 6 billion dollars from China for a new city, and offered to pump more Russian gas to its neighbour. That is multi-vector foreign policy as a daily schedule.

Kazakhstan's Alatau roadshow in Shenzhen lands up to $6 billion in deals
China FactorBrief11 Jun

Kazakhstan’s Alatau roadshow in Shenzhen lands up to $6 billion in deals

A Kazakh delegation came out of a Shenzhen roadshow on 10 June with 24 agreements worth up to 6 billion dollars for its new city of Alatau. The model, and much of the money, is Chinese.

EnergyBrief11 Jun

Kazakhstan says it is ready to pump more Russian gas to Uzbekistan

Kazakhstan’s energy minister said on 10 June that the country is ready to carry more Russian gas to Uzbekistan, toward 11 billion cubic metres a year. The pipeline that once sent Central Asian gas north now runs the other way.

The US and Central Asia open a critical minerals dialogue in Astana
EconomyBrief11 Jun

The US and Central Asia open a critical minerals dialogue in Astana

American and Central Asian officials gathered in Astana this week to turn last year’s framework deals into actual mines and processing plants. US Under Secretary Jacob Helberg is there. So are Chinese exhibitors.

The scramble for the Caucasus, from Washington’s bill to a Chinese-built port
China FactorAnalysis10 Jun

The scramble for the Caucasus, from Washington’s bill to a Chinese-built port

In one week Washington moved against Chinese and Russian sway in Georgia, the foreign ministers of Turkiye, Azerbaijan and Georgia signed a declaration in Istanbul, and a Chinese consortium kept its grip on Georgia’s flagship port. The Caucasus is being contested in real time.

Kazakhstan’s oil still rides a Russian route
EnergyAnalysis10 Jun

Kazakhstan’s oil still rides a Russian route

Astana keeps adjusting its output numbers. It still ships most of its oil through a pipeline that crosses Russia to the Black Sea, and that route is now a target. The exposure is built into the map.

Turkmenistan and Georgia push trade and transit ties in Tbilisi
EconomyBrief10 Jun

Turkmenistan and Georgia push trade and transit ties in Tbilisi

Turkmen and Georgian officials met in Tbilisi on 10 June to expand trade, investment and transit, with Georgian Railway and Black Sea ports at the centre of the talks.

EnergyBrief10 Jun

Kazakhstan sets its 2026 oil target at 98 million tonnes after pipeline attacks

Energy minister Yerlan Akkenzhenov said on 10 June that Kazakhstan will produce about 98 million tonnes of oil this year, below plan. Attacks on the Caspian pipeline and outages at Tengiz cost roughly 5 million tonnes.

US House passes a bill on Chinese and Russian influence in Georgia
PoliticsBrief10 Jun

US House passes a bill on Chinese and Russian influence in Georgia

The US House passed the Countering China’s Control of the Caucasus Act on 8 June, ordering a classified report on Russian and Chinese intelligence activity in Georgia. It is the sharpest sign yet of Washington’s rift with Tbilisi.

 Central Asia, AI, data centres, electricity, nuclear, Russia, China, South Korea
EnergyAnalysis10 Jun

Central Asia declared an AI year. The grid will decide how far it gets

The region is racing to build digital economies, AI centres and crypto hubs. All of it needs electricity Central Asia does not yet have, which is why the same governments are courting Korea, Rosatom and Beijing for new power.

Turkmenistan talks AI with OpenAI
PoliticsBrief10 Jun

Turkmenistan, one of the world’s most closed states, talks AI with OpenAI

A Turkmen education delegation met OpenAI this week to discuss using AI in schools. For one of the planet’s most isolated governments, even the conversation is a departure.

Tajikistan breaks ground on an IT hub and regional AI centre in Dushanbe
EconomyBrief10 Jun

Tajikistan breaks ground on an IT hub and a regional AI centre in Dushanbe

Tajikistan laid the foundation on 9 June for IT Hub Dushanbe, a complex housing an IT park, a business centre and a regional AI centre. The project is fronted by Rustam Emomali, the president’s son and presumed successor.

EnergyBrief10 Jun

Kazakhstan and South Korea deepen energy ties and edge toward a nuclear deal

Astana and Seoul advanced cooperation on power generation, oil and a planned nuclear memorandum on 8 and 9 June. South Korea is positioning itself in a country scrambling to add electricity.

Kazakhstan approves a national AI and digitalization strategy to 2029
EconomyBrief10 Jun

Kazakhstan approves a national AI and digitalisation strategy to 2029

President Tokayev signed the Digital Qazaqstan strategy on 9 June, a plan to push artificial intelligence across the economy by 2029. It is the centrepiece of the year he declared the Year of Digitalisation and AI.

Remittances remain Central Asia’s clearest stability gauge
EconomyAnalysis9 Jun

Remittances remain Central Asia’s clearest stability gauge

The fastest read on Central Asian stability is the money migrants wire home from Russia. In Tajikistan it equals almost half of GDP, which makes the ruble the region’s quiet budget line.

Central Asia’s critical minerals
EconomyAnalysis9 Jun

Central Asia’s critical minerals race: the deals outpace the mines

Central Asia keeps signing minerals deals with the West; China keeps taking the minerals. The gap now is bankability, power and processing.

The Trans-Caspian pipeline returns to the agenda as Europe’s gas deadline nears
EnergyBrief9 Jun

The Trans-Caspian pipeline returns to the agenda as Europe’s gas deadline nears

A pipeline idea that has circled the Caspian for thirty years looks newly serious as Europe’s 2027 deadline to drop Russian gas closes in.

Trans-Afghan railway advances, Russian Railways joins feasibility study
EconomyBrief9 Jun

Trans-Afghan railway advances as Russian Railways joins the feasibility study

The railway is sold as Central Asia’s own outlet to the sea. Its newest study partner is Russian Railways.

Kazakhstan and the EU line up a Middle Corridor push before a 23 June meeting
EconomyBrief9 Jun

Kazakhstan and the EU line up a Middle Corridor push before a 23 June meeting

Container traffic through Kazakhstan jumped by a third in the first quarter, and Brussels is leaning in before a high-level corridor meeting on 23 June.