Kasymaliev spoke in an interview relayed by Kyrgyz outlets on Tuesday, and paired the projection with a pledge: there will be no shortage. "The market is under state control, and necessary import volumes and strategic reserves guarantee uninterrupted fuel supply," he said, listing AI-92, diesel, gas and jet kerosene as covered. Subsidies, he said, hold Kyrgyz pump prices 20 to 25 som below Uzbekistan and Tajikistan.
The supply map he described is the widest any Kyrgyz official has drawn in this crisis: imports from Belarus, China, Turkey and Europe, planned rail deliveries from China, negotiations with Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan, and processing arrangements with Uzbek refineries of up to 20,000 tonnes a month. Behind it sits the one agreed schedule, 100,000 tonnes a month from Russia at exchange prices through the end of 2026, about 1.2 million tonnes a year against consumption of 1.6 to 2 million.
His range closes a 5-week arc. In late July the street was already 5 to 8.5 som over the petrol cap. Import costs have gone from about $860 a tonne at the start of the year to $1,400 by late July, on the government’s own account. His first deputy, Daniyar Amangeldiyev, said on 23 July that petrol could cost 114 som and diesel 148 with regulation removed. The chairman’s range is the first from the head of government himself, and he attached no date to it.
The decision that settles this is the cap itself: extended, raised or allowed to lapse on 30 September. A document choosing among the three has yet to surface in anything the desk reads.