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Washington's new tariff law counts Russian gas by volume, and Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan are closing in on its top fiveThe WMO writes the region's water year down: reservoirs below normal from Kyrgyzstan to Afghanistan, the Aral basin's rivers in decline, glaciers with one of their 3 worst years on recordKyrgyzstan widens its fuel export ban to petroleum gases; the Chinese-owned Junda refinery gets a 4,800-tonne exceptionOyu Tolgoi's revenue runs $1.9 billion ahead of plan in 8 months; the copper dividend is still dated 2027

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37 results
  1. Mongolia’s parliament fails to make a quorum for a new justice minister and its rewritten fiscal rule; the 2027 draft prints a 2% deficit
    PoliticsAnalysis17 Sept

    Mongolia’s parliament fails to make a quorum for a new justice minister and its rewritten fiscal rule; the 2027 draft prints a 2% deficit

    Fifty-two of 126 members registered for Thursday’s plenary, 41.3%, and the Speaker moved the sitting to Monday. The Democratic Party sent 1 of its 42 members; the governing party sent 44 of its 68. On the agenda were the replacement of the justice minister sacked on Wednesday and the amendment that takes 2 indicators out of the fiscal rule.

  2. Pashinyan tells parliament the Trump route runs from Azerbaijan's border to Azerbaijan's border, and Armenia decides at the gates
    PoliticsAnalysis17 Sept

    Pashinyan tells parliament the Trump route runs from Azerbaijan's border to Azerbaijan's border, and Armenia decides at the gates

    On the day the Constitutional Court cleared the TRIPP agreement, the prime minister spent the government hour answering Baku's description of the route and Moscow's description of the price of Europe. He conceded the geography, kept the jurisdiction and moved the base question to Putin.

  3. Seoul's summit week reaches its declaration with five different baskets on the table
    PoliticsAnalysis16 Sept

    Seoul's summit week reaches its declaration with five different baskets on the table

    The first Korea-Central Asia summit sits in Seoul on Wednesday with a Seoul Declaration on supply chains and future industries to adopt. The week of bilateral talks that led to it shows what each capital came for: Kazakhstan a status upgrade and $19 billion of commercial agreements, Uzbekistan a $12 billion portfolio, Turkmenistan a named contractor for its canal, Tajikistan 17 documents with one railway agreement among them, Kyrgyzstan 18 documents and a trade office. Korea's instruments are loans and guarantees for Korean equipment. The declaration adds a calendar.

  4. Armenia's Constitutional Court takes up the Trump route at 11:00, 6 days after Baku dated the first works to 2027
    PoliticsAnalysis15 Sept

    Armenia's Constitutional Court takes up the Trump route at 11:00, 6 days after Baku dated the first works to 2027

    The court sits on Tuesday morning to say whether the framework agreement Yerevan signed with Washington in June, a 49-year company that is 74% American on land Armenia keeps, fits the constitution. The ruling is the step before parliament. The calendar for the route itself has already been written elsewhere.

  5. The Kremlin books Pashinyan for Moscow, and puts the referendum he dropped back on the agenda
    PoliticsAnalysis8 Sept

    The Kremlin books Pashinyan for Moscow, and puts the referendum he dropped back on the agenda

    Vladimir Putin invited Nikol Pashinyan to Moscow and Pashinyan accepted, Dmitry Peskov said on Monday; the two leaders, in his words, will discuss "the choice of the direction of development, Armenia's orientation" and "the holding of the corresponding referendum". A week earlier in Bishkek the Armenian prime minister had taken that referendum off his table. Moscow has now put it on its own, with no date attached.

  6. Kazakhstan's vice-president gets a decree of his own, and the Presidential Administration keeps the staff
    PoliticsAnalysis7 Sept

    Kazakhstan's vice-president gets a decree of his own, and the Presidential Administration keeps the staff

    On Saturday Kassym-Jomart Tokayev signed decree No. 1452 “On the powers of the Vice-President of the Republic of Kazakhstan”, the decree that says what Yerlan Karin does in the office he took on 31 August. It gives the vice-president strategic initiatives to draft, seven commissions and councils to run, the Secretariat of the Congress of Leaders of World and Traditional Religions to head and the KISI think tank to supervise. Everything outward, from the Kurultai to a foreign summit, he does “on the instruction of the President”, and his support comes from the Presidential Administration, where he served as first deputy head until his appointment.

  7. Pashinyan drops the referendum, and Putin offers to leave Gyumri
    PoliticsAnalysis2 Sept

    Pashinyan drops the referendum, and Putin offers to leave Gyumri

    Four days after Lavrov told Armenia to choose between the EU and the EAEU by referendum, Pashinyan told Putin in Bishkek there will be no referendum and no membership decision yet. Putin answered at his press conference in Bishkek that the Gyumri base stays only if Armenians want it, and invited Pashinyan to Moscow to go through the file point by point. The ultimatum has become a negotiation with a venue.

  8. Kazakhstan fills both posts in a morning, and the ten-day clock starts
    PoliticsAnalysis31 Aug

    Kazakhstan fills both posts in a morning, and the ten-day clock starts

    The Kurultai approved Yerlan Karin as vice-president and Olzhas Bektenov as prime minister on 31 August, and Tokayev signed both appointment decrees within hours. The resignation Bektenov handed in on Friday lasted 3 days. The message is continuity; the new fact is the seat built beside the presidency.

  9. The summit begins at dinner, and the declaration can wait
    PoliticsAnalysis31 Aug

    The summit begins at dinner, and the declaration can wait

    Xi Jinping opened his state visit with a Sunday-night dinner, Narendra Modi landed with his Tashkent deals already signed, and Moscow published its agenda before reaching the hall. The heads of state sit on Tuesday; the week they are meant to crown is already running.

  10. Delhi and Islamabad close the Bishkek list
    PoliticsAnalysis28 Aug

    Delhi and Islamabad close the Bishkek list

    India and Pakistan put their confirmations on the record on Thursday: Narendra Modi attends Tuesday's Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Bishkek, and so does Shehbaz Sharif, at a table the Kyrgyz presidency counts at 21 heads of state. Four days out, the open question is what gets signed.

  11. Azerbaijan takes a seat at Central Asia's table
    PoliticsAnalysis24 Aug

    Azerbaijan takes a seat at Central Asia's table

    Ilham Aliyev and Shavkat Mirziyoyev signed a Treaty on Eternal Friendship in Tashkent on Sunday and chaired the third session of their Supreme Interstate Council. The document that travels furthest is procedural: Azerbaijan's full participation in the Consultative Meetings of Central Asian heads of state, a format that now runs across the Caspian.

  12. Exit polls give Kazakhstan a five-party Kurultai, and the government prepares to resign
    PoliticsAnalysis24 Aug

    Exit polls give Kazakhstan a five-party Kurultai, and the government prepares to resign

    Kazakhstan's first Kurultai election closed on Sunday with turnout of 74.19% and every published exit poll giving Adilet about 7 votes in 10. The official result is due by 30 August; the appointments that follow it, a resigning cabinet and the country's first vice-president, are due within days of the count.

  13. Yerevan promises everyone a deepening, and Moscow sends the first invoice
    PoliticsAnalysis20 Aug

    Yerevan promises everyone a deepening, and Moscow sends the first invoice

    The programme Armenia's cabinet takes up on Thursday lists partners from Washington to the EAEU for deeper relations, all at once. One of those partners has already put a price on its line: Rosselkhoznadzor is asking for inspection results and a written compliance programme.

  14. The Middle Corridor is one row in Washington's tariff table
    PoliticsAnalysis19 Aug

    The Middle Corridor is one row in Washington's tariff table

    Caucasus and Central Asia holds 4 names together: Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan, filed under Belt-and-Road Overland Nodes. That label does more work than any of the coverage that trickled into regional media this week.

  15. Moscow answers Armenia's trade complaint with a calendar
    PoliticsAnalysis11 Aug

    Moscow answers Armenia's trade complaint with a calendar

    Nikol Pashinyan named the Russian import restrictions at the Eurasian Intergovernmental Council on Friday. Russia replied on Tuesday. The reply came from the foreign ministry, and it carried three dates.

  16. Armenia brings the Russian import bans to the union's own table
    PoliticsAnalysis7 Aug

    Armenia brings the Russian import bans to the union's own table

    Nikol Pashinyan told the four other governments of the Eurasian Economic Union on Friday that Russian restrictions on Armenian goods are feeding a negative view of the union inside Armenia. He came with figures: $319 million paid in during 2025, $175 million received back.

  17. Pashinyan calls the union paralyzed
    PoliticsAnalysis31 Jul

    Pashinyan calls the union paralyzed

    Armenia’s prime minister said on Thursday the Eurasian Economic Union is “de facto paralyzed”, his hardest wording since Russia began closing its market to Armenian goods in May. The union’s core promise, free movement of goods, is now disputed in public by one of its five members.

  18. Kazakhstan takes the tanker attacks to the SCO table
    PoliticsAnalysis24 Jul

    Kazakhstan takes the tanker attacks to the SCO table

    Foreign minister Yermek Kosherbayev told the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation’s ministerial council on Friday that attacks on oil infrastructure threaten the durability of trade relations and supply chains. Astana has carried this month’s crisis onto a multilateral platform, into a room that includes Russia, China, India, Iran and Pakistan.

  19. Korea courts Mongolia with a golden era and a minerals list
    PoliticsAnalysis14 Jul

    Korea courts Mongolia with a golden era and a minerals list

    Lee Jae-myung’s state visit to Ulaanbaatar, the first by a South Korean president in 15 years, ended Saturday at Naadam, after a "Golden Era" declaration and a stack of memoranda. He arrived straight from the NATO summit, and the itinerary is the message: defense industry in Ankara, critical minerals in Mongolia, and a Central Asia summit in Seoul this autumn.

  20. Armenia moves to take its power grid, and the price is the message
    PoliticsAnalysis13 Jul

    Armenia moves to take its power grid, and the price is the message

    The public consultation on declaring Electric Networks of Armenia an overriding public interest closed on 8 July; the government decision is due in mid-July. Documents obtained by RFE/RL put the state’s net offer for a grid that absorbed some $900 million of investment at roughly $360,000. The decision will be read far beyond Yerevan.