The half-year covers the months before the CPC crisis, so the growth is trend rather than diversion. The trend is the point: Georgia’s ports as a whole grew 22% in the first half, Batumi resumed jet-fuel transshipment on 16 July after an 8-year pause, and the terminal sits with headroom, 11 berths against a stated capacity of 21 million tonnes a year.
When the redirection numbers finally publish, this is the gauge they will register on.
Kazakhstan has been redirecting crude toward Aktau and the BTC line since the CPC halt, without publishing volumes. The Batumi figures, the Georgian port totals and this morning’s ADB loan for the Tbilisi bypass are the same story told from three directions: the westward workaround is being counted, financed and, plainly, used. The next Batumi report, covering the crisis months, is where the redirection will first show up in public numbers.