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Independent Central Asia Monitor
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China's fuel promise to Mongolia gets a number: 17,000 tonnes for September, and a 20-year frame around itKazakhstan pauses collecting its $5.2 billion Kashagan fine after NCOC takes the bailiff to courtBaku moves the start of work on the Trump route to 2027, 6 days before Armenia's court takes up the dealKazakhstan's energy ministry says CPC loading stopped on 2 buoys after Tuesday's drone incident and resumed after checks
US House passes a bill on Chinese and Russian influence in Georgia
PoliticsBrief10 Jun

US House passes a bill on Chinese and Russian influence in Georgia

The US House passed the Countering China’s Control of the Caucasus Act on 8 June, ordering a classified report on Russian and Chinese intelligence activity in Georgia. It is the sharpest sign yet of Washington’s rift with Tbilisi.

Armenia Elections
PoliticsAnalysis8 Jun

Pashinyan wins — and the margin tells the real story

The final results of Armenia’s parliamentary elections have cemented Nikol Pashinyan’s third consecutive term, but the tight mathematical metrics reveal a complex legislative landscape ahead. While his Civil Contract party secured enough seats to form a government single-handedly, it fell short of the constitutional supermajority required to reshape the country's institutional framework. The razor-thin margin shows that while voters backed his westward shift, they refused to hand him absolute domestic power.

Riga Baku SPb
OpinionOpinion7 Jun

Forum week: Baku signed, St. Petersburg celebrated, Riga quietly worked

Three gatherings, one week, one pipeline. A tour of the parallel universes of Eurasian energy diplomacy.

Washington Names Moscow's Play in Armenia
PoliticsAnalysis6 Jun

Four days out: Washington names Moscow's play in Armenia

Secretary Rubio told the Senate on Tuesday that Russia wants Pashinyan to lose. The claim lands in the middle of the dirtiest election campaign Armenia has seen in years.

Campaign over, silence begins: what Armenia goes into June 7 with
PoliticsBrief5 Jun

Campaign over, silence begins: what Armenia goes into June 7 with

Pashinyan leads by a wide margin among decided voters. A third of the electorate is still undecided. Tomorrow is the day of silence. Sunday is the vote.

Armenia T-3: Civil Contract leads, but a third of voters undecided
PoliticsBrief4 Jun

Armenia T-3: Civil Contract Leads by a Distance, But a Third of Voters Are Still Undecided

The latest polling aggregate puts Pashinyan at 46% of decided voters. The undecided bloc is large enough to change the outcome. Campaign ends tomorrow.