"You can see that after the closure of exports the domestic market is supplied," Novak told journalists on Saturday, adding that companies have had no difficulty turning diesel flows back home. His same-day remarks carried a hedge, in the version run by Fontanka: the final shape of the diesel ban is still undecided, held "for some time" while winter stocks build and refineries return from maintenance.
Every date on that list is a Russian regulatory decision
Bishkek's own wall arrives sooner: the price caps and the subsidy holding them expire on 30 September. Kyrgyzstan imports about 2 million tonnes of fuel a year, roughly 95% of it Russian, and signed supply agreements this month with Sinopec and CNPC, volumes and prices unpublished. Tajikistan's first-half imports ran 599,500 tonnes with Russia near 90%; its request to Iran for 2.55 million tonnes has so far drawn a framework, with Tehran's oil minister Mohsen Paknejad confirming talks on surplus products and leaving volumes to "logistics conditions". Mongolia's August supply book leans on Russian government and commercial tracks the desk never sums, and the government track still has no Russian-side confirmation.
Every date on that list is a Russian regulatory decision, and every buyer on this page plans around it. The fixed points now run: 1 September, producers exempt on diesel; 30 November, jet fuel; 31 January 2027, petrol and non-producer diesel.