The reply concedes the fact KEGOC alleged and contests everything built on it. A brief disconnection of two Toktogul hydrogenerators was recorded, the ministry said, and it was the initial disturbance in the region’s interconnected system. But the initial disturbance should not be equated with the direct cause of blackouts in other countries, the shutdown of each national node requires separate analysis, and it is incorrect to assign Kyrgyzstan responsibility for all subsequent consequences before the joint technical investigation concludes.
The ministry put numbers behind the defence: the Kyrgyz system restored frequency to 50 Hz within 18 minutes of the disturbance, and Kyrgyzstan then supplied about 250 MW of emergency assistance to neighbouring systems. In this telling the Almaty node collapsed after frequency had already stabilised. Both timelines now agree on the minute and disagree about what killed Almaty. KEGOC owns the 600 MW figure; the Kyrgyz statement confirms two generators and no megawatts, and Toktogul’s water level stays a state secret.
The domestic scene ran on a different register. About half an hour before the ministry’s statement, cabinet chairman Adylbek Kasymaliev told a government meeting that Kyrgyzstan has logged 26 high voltage emergency disconnections in 18 months, blamed equipment condition, contractor damage and negligent management, put the presidential administration’s control chief Azamat Apsatarov personally over a new commission on outage causes, and ordered a legal review of officials in the ministry, the power companies and the contractors. The state defends its grid abroad and prosecutes it at home, in the same news cycle.
Both timelines now agree on the minute and disagree about what killed Almaty.
Kazakhstan had not answered the Kyrgyz statement by evening, and the joint commission announced on Friday still has no published chair or deadline. The government session scheduled in Astana for Tuesday morning is the next place a Kazakh position can land. Tajikistan has codified caution: a working group, a denial of the Nurek rumours, and a note that the Pamir grid never lost supply because it runs separately.