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Economy

Ashgabat gives the EBRD five doors to knock on

EBRD president Odile Renaud-Basso signed a package of five memorandums in Ashgabat on 28 July, among them a 2027–2032 strategy framework with the Central Bank of Turkmenistan. President Serdar Berdimuhamedov received her the following day.

Ashgabat gives the EBRD five doors to knock on

The package covers the bank’s strategic priorities with the Central Bank for 2027 to 2032; financial-sector strengthening aimed at export-oriented growth; green energy and water management, signed with the environment and energy ministries alongside the state concerns Turkmengas, Turkmennebit and Turkmenhimiya; modernisation of transport corridors with the railway and road ministries; and Ashgabat’s entry into the bank’s Green Cities programme. No amounts were disclosed.

The signatures are the story. Turkmengas and Turkmennebit rarely sign with anyone, and a development bank whose mandate is private markets has just been given a framework that names them. Ashgabat has kept multilateral lenders at the margins of its economy; five memorandums in one day, capped by a presidential audience, is a different posture.

Five memorandums are five promises; the test is the first published number.

The reason has a geography. The memorandum list points west: transport corridors, the Trans-Caspian route, green energy of the kind Europe buys. This month the first e-TIR consignments crossed the Caspian through Turkmen territory, Turkmenistan is negotiating a cargo terminal on Georgia’s Black Sea coast, and the modernised Sarahs border post is being marketed as a corridor crossroads. Europe’s search for routes and suppliers that avoid Russia now runs through Ashgabat, and a development bank is the one instrument that can finance that turn without a treaty.

The house keeps its skeptical register: a memorandum is a promise, and this file holds five of them. Watch for the strategy’s adoption with lending targets attached, and for the first signed project under any of the five.